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Fantastic breakdown of confounding by indication! The sibling comparison design is elegent because it automatically controls for all those family-level factors that usually muddy observational studies. The part about treating the fever being protective rather than risky is crucial, becasue it flips the risk calculation entirely. When headlines scream about toxins but the actual hazard ratios cluster around 1.0, thats the difference between statistical noise and meaningful signal. This kind of evidence synthesis is what parents need more of.

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